Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 122.929086 141.588568 163.235172 190.473616 224.221069 265.184456 3.194926e+02
2025-03-30 94.418339 116.536999 144.820740 184.565359 240.561404 319.279254 4.435612e+02
2025-04-06 80.971087 104.567532 136.774908 185.682376 261.474485 381.115870 6.004515e+02
2025-04-13 71.360684 95.305164 129.637018 185.025995 277.781202 439.481435 7.795196e+02
2025-04-20 66.266177 91.278521 128.827319 193.035927 309.194091 533.829442 1.084737e+03
2025-04-27 63.576592 90.211665 132.025924 207.821585 356.406303 678.280674 1.625457e+03
2025-05-04 58.205047 84.222015 126.303298 205.683373 370.364694 758.302274 2.078708e+03
2025-05-11 54.435382 80.279188 123.321729 207.813948 393.598570 872.271946 2.798567e+03
2025-05-18 50.339091 75.326905 117.894883 204.111071 402.773201 954.449182 3.536345e+03
2025-05-25 47.536885 72.237196 115.340520 205.647061 424.805273 1088.120381 4.834058e+03
2025-06-01 44.843988 69.058718 112.210459 205.368131 442.310140 1219.983795 6.548254e+03
2025-06-08 42.100363 65.539535 108.032294 202.074440 450.953552 1327.905681 8.557007e+03
2025-06-15 40.890673 64.838525 109.548192 212.867659 506.383860 1687.549887 1.614437e+04
2025-06-22 37.910328 60.688081 103.869955 205.970760 507.416133 1815.961563 2.263174e+04
2025-06-29 36.051834 58.434832 101.730608 207.265912 535.581104 2122.169388 4.105965e+04
2025-07-06 34.202396 56.028818 98.984231 206.504606 556.956850 2429.213675 7.798233e+04
2025-07-13 33.359137 55.457663 100.011010 215.804582 619.719080 3138.894514 2.971468e+05
2025-07-20 33.130111 56.047590 103.607193 233.025594 724.957059 4522.232129 1.125470e+07
2025-07-27 31.521122 53.754499 100.514565 230.530948 745.686693 5189.221198 NaN
2025-08-03 30.375004 52.304236 99.179191 233.016682 791.708052 6379.299881 NaN
2025-08-10 28.903142 50.079847 95.821838 228.697454 802.921088 7175.595477 NaN
2025-08-17 27.905635 48.765332 94.476265 230.488594 847.871863 8860.824824 NaN
2025-08-24 26.862723 47.282116 92.578667 230.163276 882.165584 10683.662815 NaN